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Clavision Snow Ruyi Invitational · BO3
result vs prediction
Azure Raywin 2:0
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Zeroloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Azure Ray

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
fy · 33 games
58%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Faith_bian · 24 games
50%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Ori · 20 games
55%
Techies
Techies
天命 · 19 games
47%
Razor
Razoroften banned
Ori · 18 games
50%
Lion
Lion
fy · 17 games
41%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Faith_bian · 17 games
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
fy · 16 games
31%

Team Zero

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Ponlo · 14 games
57%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
7e · 13 games
69%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
BEYOND · 12 games
67%
Mirana
Miranasignature
zzq · 12 games
75%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
zzq · 10 games
30%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
7e · 10 games
60%
Lion
Lionsignature
Ponlo · 10 games
70%
Razor
Razoroften banned
7e · 10 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
404 picks · 414 bans
53%
Tiny
Tiny
402 picks · 896 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
394 picks · 296 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
383 picks · 803 bans
53%
Pangolier
Pangolier
349 picks · 537 bans
46%
Phoenix
Phoenix
343 picks · 681 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
337 picks · 477 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
316 picks · 383 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)32% vs 44%
Hero pool strength55% Team Zero
Head-to-head5 – 1
Model total66% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct21:1
Azure Ray 57%Team Zero 43%
The model gave 57% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 20:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
Morphlinglou
48% · 145 games46% · 141 game
Dragon Knightpoyoyo
Dragon Knight
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritOri
57% · 121 game50% · 56 games
Sand KingBEYOND
Sand King
Underlord
UnderlordFaith_bian
54% · 65 games48% · 69 games
Slardar7e
Slardar
Jakiro
JakiroFantasy
45% · 114 games48% · 118 games
SnapfirePonlo
Snapfire
Oracle
OraclepLAnet
68% · 25 games49% · 86 games
Elder Titanzzq
Elder Titan
Game 2prediction correct23:6
Azure Ray 54%Team Zero 46%
The model gave 54% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 21:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
Ursalou
42% · 56 games59% · 37 games
Clinkzpoyoyo
Clinkz
Beastmaster
BeastmasterFaith_bian
39% · 87 games51% · 39 games
BroodmotherBEYOND
Broodmother
Puck
PuckOri
43% · 49 games69% · 69 games
Sand King7e
Sand King
Weaver
WeaverpLAnet
50% · 113 games50% · 23 games
OraclePonlo
Oracle
Jakiro
JakiroFantasy
49% · 53 games48% · 190 games
Clockwerkzzq
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 66%
Series resultAzure Ray 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2