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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Azure Raywin 2:0
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Zeroloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Azure Ray

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
fy · 19 games
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Faith_bian · 15 games
60%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
fy · 15 games
53%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
Ori · 13 games
54%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Ori · 13 games
62%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
lou · 12 games
42%
Lifestealer
Lifestealersignature
lou · 12 games
67%
Sven
Svenoften banned
lou · 12 games
42%

Team Zero

Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritoften banned
7e · 12 games
42%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
BEYOND · 11 games
36%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
zzq · 11 games
45%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
poyoyo · 11 games
64%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
BEYOND · 10 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
BEYOND · 10 games
40%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
zzq · 8 games
63%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Ponlo · 8 games
63%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
347 picks · 259 bans
46%
Rubick
Rubick
341 picks · 329 bans
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
335 picks · 381 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
328 picks · 472 bans
48%
Snapfire
Snapfire
313 picks · 265 bans
53%
Sven
Sven
289 picks · 300 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
288 picks · 445 bans
48%
Enchantress
Enchantress
286 picks · 475 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 33%
Hero pool strength53% Azure Ray
Head-to-head9 – 1
Model total56% Azure Ray
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:25
Azure Ray 52%Team Zero 48%
The model gave 52% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 43:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightlou
46% · 331 game56% · 116 games
Nature's Prophetpoyoyo
Nature's Prophet
Bristleback
Bristlebackniu
47% · 70 games52% · 133 games
DoomBEYOND
Doom
Sniper
SniperpLAnet
60% · 118 games47% · 195 games
Tiny7e
Tiny
Tusk
TuskFantasy
45% · 214 games48% · 146 games
Dark WillowPyw
Dark Willow
47% · 143 games
Clockwerkzzq
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct24:26
Azure Ray 53%Team Zero 47%
The model gave 53% on Azure Ray — the game was taken by Azure Ray in 36:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightlou
50% · 345 games50% · 200 games
Lunapoyoyo
Luna
Dark Seer
Dark Seerniu
49% · 182 games56% · 95 games
Sniper7e
Sniper
Mirana
MiranapLAnet
42% · 197 games49% · 266 games
PangolierBEYOND
Pangolier
Clockwerk
ClockwerkFantasy
49% · 241 game55% · 290 games
TinyPyw
Tiny
54% · 114 games
Naga Sirenzzq
Naga Siren
Model check result
Model favoriteAzure Ray · 56%
Series resultAzure Ray 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2