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Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
B8 Esportsloss 0:2
series probability
21%79%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Mind Gameswin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

B8 Esports

Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Dendi · 27 games
41%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
[T]SA · 25 games
64%
Lina
Linasignature
[T]SA · 24 games
63%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Watson · 22 games
59%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Dendi · 19 games
21%
Luna
Lunaoften banned
Watson · 18 games
50%
Bane
Bane
Sammyboy · 16 games
50%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
v1olent- · 16 games
44%

Mind Games

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
520 picks · 369 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
463 picks · 664 bans
50%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
408 picks · 508 bans
52%
Weaver
Weaver
406 picks · 863 bans
56%
Snapfire
Snapfire
376 picks · 194 bans
45%
Kunkka
Kunkka
317 picks · 529 bans
55%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
310 picks · 485 bans
53%
Disruptor
Disruptor
266 picks · 182 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)13% vs 53%
Hero pool strength50% Mind Games
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total79% Mind Games
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:26
B8 Esports 21%Mind Games 79%
The model gave 79% on Mind Games — the game was taken by Mind Games in 41:06.
Game 2prediction correct18:25
B8 Esports 21%Mind Games 79%
The model gave 79% on Mind Games — the game was taken by Mind Games in 40:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteMind Games · 79%
Series resultMind Games 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2