Khaz Modan Cup Season 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Baby Build Houseloss 1:1series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 1:1
RFRed flowerloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Baby Build House
No games played over 6 months.
Red flower
Grimstroke
Yyh_ · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Killa · 1 game
Marsoften banned
Killa · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
509 picks · 446 bans
Mars
486 picks · 702 bans
Bane
452 picks · 290 bans
Dragon Knight
440 picks · 534 bans
Sand King
388 picks · 543 bans
Storm Spirit
387 picks · 626 bans
Pangolier
372 picks · 617 bans
Grimstroke
356 picks · 316 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 42%
Hero pool strength58% Baby Build House
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% Red flower
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Baby Build House 48%Red flower 52%
The model gave 52% on Red flower — the game was taken by Baby Build House.
Game 2prediction correct
Baby Build House 48%Red flower 52%
The model gave 52% on Red flower — the game was taken by Red flower.
Model check result
Model favoriteRed flower · 52%
Accuracy by game1 of 2