FONBET Кубок России 2024 по Dota 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
Bald Dynastywin 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
PAPAYA TEAMloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Bald Dynasty
No games played over 6 months.
PAPAYA TEAM
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
440 picks · 371 bans
Hoodwink
398 picks · 447 bans
Tiny
386 picks · 870 bans
Weaver
385 picks · 823 bans
Phoenix
370 picks · 767 bans
Pangolier
359 picks · 504 bans
Clockwerk
337 picks · 505 bans
Jakiro
332 picks · 249 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Bald Dynasty
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Bald Dynasty
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Bald Dynasty 58%PAPAYA TEAM 42%
The model gave 58% on Bald Dynasty — the game was taken by Bald Dynasty.
Game 2prediction correct
Bald Dynasty 58%PAPAYA TEAM 42%
The model gave 58% on Bald Dynasty — the game was taken by Bald Dynasty.
Model check result
Model favoriteBald Dynasty · 58%
Series resultBald Dynasty 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2