European Pro League Season 38 · BO3
result vs prediction
Balu Teamloss 0:2series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Hive-win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Balu Team
No games played over 6 months.
Hive-
Ringmaster
slimeyao · 6 games
Hoodwink
slimeyao · 5 games
Rubick
slimeyao · 5 games
Tiny
byun · 5 games
Enchantress
kur0patbI4 · 4 games
Phoenixoften banned
kur0patbI4 · 4 games
Chenoften banned
kur0patbI4 · 3 games
Alchemistoften banned
byun · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
608 picks · 378 bans
Rubick
503 picks · 278 bans
Phoenix
496 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
474 picks · 393 bans
Pangolier
414 picks · 576 bans
Puck
351 picks · 948 bans
Tusk
340 picks · 285 bans
Beastmaster
339 picks · 882 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 33%
Hero pool strength56% Balu Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total56% Balu Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Balu Team 56%Hive- 44%
The model gave 56% on Balu Team — the game was taken by Hive-.
Game 2prediction missed
Balu Team 56%Hive- 44%
The model gave 56% on Balu Team — the game was taken by Hive-.
Model check result
Model favoriteBalu Team · 56%
Series resultHive- 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2