The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Balu Teamloss 0:1series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:1
MMicroFishkiwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Balu Team
No games played over 6 months.
MicroFishki
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
623 picks · 408 bans
Rubick
529 picks · 295 bans
Phoenix
482 picks · 583 bans
Tiny
466 picks · 391 bans
Pangolier
427 picks · 611 bans
Puck
346 picks · 983 bans
Tusk
342 picks · 289 bans
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 514 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)28% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Balu Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% MicroFishki
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:49
Balu Team 48%MicroFishki 52%
The model gave 52% on MicroFishki — the game was taken by MicroFishki in 58:40.
Model check result
Model favoriteMicroFishki · 52%
Series resultMicroFishki 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1