DreamLeague Season 24. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionBBandaNoonewin 1:0
series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 1:0
TNTeam NeatlTVloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BandaNoone
No games played over 6 months.
Team NeatlTV
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
349 picks · 259 bans
Rubick
343 picks · 331 bans
Hoodwink
337 picks · 387 bans
Pangolier
331 picks · 483 bans
Snapfire
310 picks · 266 bans
Sven
290 picks · 303 bans
Dragon Knight
288 picks · 446 bans
Enchantress
286 picks · 474 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% BandaNoone
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total90% BandaNoone
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
BandaNoone 90%Team NeatlTV 10%
The model gave 90% on BandaNoone — the game was taken by BandaNoone.
Model check result
Model favoriteBandaNoone · 90%
Series resultBandaNoone 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1