BLAST Slam VII. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionBBarrancoBarloss 0:1
series probability
11%89%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Lynxwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BarrancoBar
No games played over 6 months.
Team Lynx
Centaur Warrunnersignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 25 games
Primal Beastsignature
mellojul · 21 game
Gyrocoptersignature
7jesu · 20 games
Sand King
mellojul · 20 games
Underlordsignature
VladikTheHtiviy · 20 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
mellojul · 16 games
Ringmastersignature
QBFY · 16 games
Ursasignature
7jesu · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
677 picks · 844 bans
Tiny
572 picks · 582 bans
Tusk
501 picks · 429 bans
Warlock
476 picks · 334 bans
Shadow Demon
418 picks · 1140 bans
Ember Spirit
404 picks · 688 bans
Mars
396 picks · 621 bans
Shadow Fiend
395 picks · 1028 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 65%
Hero pool strength57% Team Lynx
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total89% Team Lynx
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
BarrancoBar 11%Team Lynx 89%
The model gave 89% on Team Lynx — the game was taken by Team Lynx.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Lynx · 89%
Series resultTeam Lynx 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1