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Elite League Season 2 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
beastcoastwin 2:1
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Cuyes Esportsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

beastcoast

No games played over 6 months.

Cuyes Esports

Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Mjz · 7 games
86%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
ILICH- · 3 games
67%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
Mjz · 3 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Mjz · 3 games
67%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
ILICH- · 3 games
33%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Parker · 3 games
67%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
ILICH- · 2 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerkoften banned
Mjz · 2 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
417 picks · 604 bans
51%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
367 picks · 384 bans
51%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
357 picks · 139 bans
54%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
355 picks · 461 bans
55%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
323 picks · 349 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
314 picks · 159 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
313 picks · 579 bans
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
310 picks · 621 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 68%
Hero pool strength56% Cuyes Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% beastcoast
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:21
beastcoast 54%Cuyes Esports 46%
The model gave 54% on beastcoast — the game was taken by Cuyes Esports in 39:28.
Game 2prediction missed10:36
beastcoast 54%Cuyes Esports 46%
The model gave 54% on beastcoast — the game was taken by Cuyes Esports in 26:52.
Game 3prediction missed38:24
beastcoast 54%Cuyes Esports 46%
The model gave 54% on beastcoast — the game was taken by Cuyes Esports in 51:19.
Model check result
Model favoritebeastcoast · 54%
Series resultbeastcoast 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 3