DreamLeague Season 24. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
beastcoastwin 2:0series probability
87%13%
probability at match start · final 2:0
DDDibujitos de fbloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Dibujitos de fb
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
349 picks · 258 bans
Rubick
327 picks · 311 bans
Snapfire
324 picks · 271 bans
Pangolier
323 picks · 452 bans
Hoodwink
321 picks · 371 bans
Windranger
297 picks · 410 bans
Dragon Knight
294 picks · 459 bans
Enchantress
288 picks · 497 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% beastcoast
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total87% beastcoast
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct0:0
beastcoast 87%Dibujitos de fb 13%
The model gave 87% on beastcoast — the game was taken by beastcoast in 16456:50:41.
Game 2prediction missed26:33
beastcoast 87%Dibujitos de fb 13%
The model gave 87% on beastcoast — the game was taken by Dibujitos de fb in 40:48.
Model check result
Model favoritebeastcoast · 87%
Series resultbeastcoast 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 2