DreamLeague Season 23 - Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
beastcoastloss 0:2series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Infinity Esportswin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Infinity Esports
Linaoften banned
PiPi · 4 games
Brewmasteroften banned
Oscar · 3 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Oscar · 3 games
Doomoften banned
Oscar · 3 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
Genek · 3 games
Phoenixoften banned
Mjz · 3 games
Rubick
Genek · 3 games
Techies
Demon · 3 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
411 picks · 663 bans
Mars
388 picks · 624 bans
Lion
386 picks · 359 bans
Techies
385 picks · 313 bans
Batrider
370 picks · 809 bans
Tiny
367 picks · 431 bans
Vengeful Spirit
355 picks · 358 bans
Hoodwink
339 picks · 204 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 44%
Hero pool strength51% Infinity Esports
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total66% beastcoast
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:38
beastcoast 66%Infinity Esports 34%
The model gave 66% on beastcoast — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 31:33.
Game 2prediction missed16:29
beastcoast 66%Infinity Esports 34%
The model gave 66% on beastcoast — the game was taken by Infinity Esports in 34:54.
Model check result
Model favoritebeastcoast · 66%
Series resultInfinity Esports 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2