LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Америка · BO2
result vs prediction
beastcoastloss 1:1series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 1:1
NoPing VPNloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
NoPing VPN
Gyrocoptersignature
Accel · 27 games
Timbersawsignature
Oscar · 24 games
Tiny
DarkMago · 22 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Mariano · 18 games
Mirana
Michael · 17 games
Oracleoften banned
Panda · 16 games
Abaddonsignature
Panda · 15 games
Earth Spiritsignature
Michael · 15 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
438 picks · 181 bans
Hoodwink
322 picks · 125 bans
Nyx Assassin
316 picks · 627 bans
Puck
315 picks · 692 bans
Ancient Apparition
308 picks · 476 bans
Mars
299 picks · 526 bans
Dragon Knight
268 picks · 338 bans
Lina
264 picks · 360 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)27% vs 56%
Hero pool strength57% NoPing VPN
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total67% NoPing VPN
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:37
beastcoast 33%NoPing VPN 67%
The model gave 67% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 40:29.
Game 2prediction correct44:46
beastcoast 33%NoPing VPN 67%
The model gave 67% on NoPing VPN — the game was taken by NoPing VPN in 44:31.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoPing VPN · 67%
Accuracy by game2 of 2