The Bali Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
beastcoastloss 1:1series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Liquidloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Team Liquid
Rubicksignature
Boxi · 34 games
Pangoliersignature
Nisha · 24 games
Disruptorsignature
iNSaNiA · 22 games
Crystal Maidensignature
iNSaNiA · 20 games
Doomsignature
zai · 20 games
Ember Spiritsignature
Nisha · 20 games
Nature's Prophetsignature
miCKe · 20 games
Tusksignature
Nisha · 20 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
662 picks · 453 bans
Techies
657 picks · 694 bans
Doom
578 picks · 1124 bans
Beastmaster
497 picks · 1215 bans
Ember Spirit
486 picks · 1038 bans
Disruptor
478 picks · 447 bans
Enchantress
463 picks · 714 bans
Pangolier
437 picks · 907 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 53%
Hero pool strength63% Team Liquid
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total67% Team Liquid
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:21
beastcoast 33%Team Liquid 67%
The model gave 67% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 24:29.
Game 2prediction correct39:39
beastcoast 33%Team Liquid 67%
The model gave 67% on Team Liquid — the game was taken by Team Liquid in 45:45.
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Liquid · 67%
Accuracy by game2 of 2