DreamLeague Season 20 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Pugnasignature
Save- · 25 games
Enchantresssignature
Save- · 24 games
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 23 games
Tiny
gpK~ · 23 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Nightfall · 21 game
Rubicksignature
Save- · 21 game
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 18 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 17 games
9Pandas
Techiesoften banned
Antares · 52 games
Rubick
Antares · 38 games
Doomsignature
MieRo · 29 games
Skywrath Mage
Antares · 27 games
Disruptor
Solo · 24 games
Undyingsignature
Solo · 23 games
Batrideroften banned
MieRo · 22 games
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 21 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
705 picks · 496 bans
Disruptor
571 picks · 506 bans
Doom
563 picks · 1095 bans
Techies
549 picks · 604 bans
Beastmaster
537 picks · 1219 bans
Ember Spirit
463 picks · 1040 bans
Pangolier
461 picks · 922 bans
Enchantress
457 picks · 664 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 44%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total69% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
BETBOOM TEAM 69%9Pandas 31%
The model gave 69% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by 9Pandas.
Game 2prediction correct
BETBOOM TEAM 69%9Pandas 31%
The model gave 69% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM.
Game 3prediction missed
BETBOOM TEAM 69%9Pandas 31%
The model gave 69% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by 9Pandas.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 69%
Series result9Pandas 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3