PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Aurora Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 26 games
Lion
Save- · 20 games
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 20 games
Dragon Knightsignature
gpK~ · 19 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 19 games
Tinysignature
Save- · 19 games
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 17 games
Enigmasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 15 games
Aurora Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
479 picks · 212 bans
Tiny
442 picks · 615 bans
Batrider
400 picks · 738 bans
Rubick
385 picks · 156 bans
Centaur Warrunner
382 picks · 537 bans
Gyrocopter
371 picks · 313 bans
Pangolier
349 picks · 720 bans
Mars
333 picks · 544 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)49% vs 38%
Hero pool strength58% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total82% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed15:30
BETBOOM TEAM 82%Aurora Gaming 18%
The model gave 82% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 47:50.
Game 2prediction missed27:37
BETBOOM TEAM 82%Aurora Gaming 18%
The model gave 82% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 51:43.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 82%
Series resultAurora Gaming 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2