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BetBoom Dacha Dota 2 2024 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
71%29%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Aurora Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 24 games
63%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 21 game
52%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Save- · 19 games
58%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 18 games
56%
Doom
Doomsignature
MieRo · 15 games
60%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 14 games
71%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
gpK~ · 14 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 14 games
64%

Aurora Gaming

Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
Jabz · 12 games
58%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 11 games
45%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Q · 10 games
70%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Q · 10 games
40%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Q · 10 games
50%
Tusk
Tuskoften banned
Q · 9 games
44%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
23savage · 9 games
44%
Batrider
Batrider
Q · 8 games
38%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
341 picks · 298 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
341 picks · 461 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
329 picks · 450 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
321 picks · 210 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
315 picks · 566 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
279 picks · 457 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
264 picks · 368 bans
53%
Luna
Luna
258 picks · 321 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 42%
Hero pool strength53% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total71% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct22:19
BETBOOM TEAM 62%Aurora Gaming 38%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 40:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistPure~
58% · 144 games49% · 121 game
SvenTA2000
Sven
Invoker
Invokerkiyotaka
55% · 141 game48% · 53 games
BristlebackJabz
Bristleback
Mars
MarsMieRo
54% · 238 games36% · 94 games
Void SpiritAbed
Void Spirit
Muerta
MuertaSave-
58% · 101 game46% · 212 games
HoodwinkQ
Hoodwink
Witch Doctor
Witch DoctorKataomi
50% · 47 games42% · 191 game
PhoenixKaori
Phoenix
Game 2prediction correct21:8
BETBOOM TEAM 60%Aurora Gaming 40%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 33:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingPure~
47% · 183 games47% · 105 games
MedusaTA2000
Medusa
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritkiyotaka
55% · 164 games53% · 186 games
Storm SpiritAbed
Storm Spirit
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
49% · 128 games51% · 41 game
DazzleJabz
Dazzle
Muerta
MuertaSave-
47% · 90 games52% · 287 games
ClockwerkQ
Clockwerk
Tusk
TuskKataomi
46% · 175 games51% · 121 game
PugnaKaori
Pugna
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 71%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2