?
arrow_backBack to match
BLAST Slam IV · BO1
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:1
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Aurora Gamingwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
63%
Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 30 games
77%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 25 games
60%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 25 games
60%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 24 games
54%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 21 game
67%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 21 game
52%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 20 games
60%

Aurora Gaming

Tiny
Tiny
Nightfall · 33 games
48%
Tusk
Tusk
Mira · 33 games
45%
Magnus
Magnussignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 32 games
66%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Mira · 29 games
62%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 28 games
57%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Nightfall · 26 games
69%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Mira · 25 games
68%
Ursa
Ursasignature
Nightfall · 23 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
592 picks · 294 bans
55%
Disruptor
Disruptor
516 picks · 522 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
386 picks · 1068 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
348 picks · 182 bans
51%
Pugna
Pugna
344 picks · 390 bans
51%
Warlock
Warlock
343 picks · 156 bans
53%
Mars
Mars
341 picks · 584 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
333 picks · 248 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 43%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head5 – 2
Model total66% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed27:30
BETBOOM TEAM 57%Aurora Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 59:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenKiritych
42% · 191 game52% · 418 games
PuckMikoto
Puck
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
51% · 375 games53% · 119 games
AlchemistNightfall
Alchemist
Void Spirit
Void SpiritgpK~
51% · 211 games49% · 236 games
MarsTORONTOTOKYO
Mars
Muerta
MuertaSave-
50% · 286 games57% · 258 games
JakiroOli
Jakiro
Enchantress
EnchantressKataomi
48% · 147 games48% · 179 games
RingmasterMira
Ringmaster
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 66%
Series resultAurora Gaming 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1