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DreamLeague Season 28 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Aurora Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 43 games
63%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 25 games
64%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 24 games
54%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 23 games
52%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 22 games
59%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kataomi · 21 game
57%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 19 games
79%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 18 games
44%

Aurora Gaming

Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Oli · 34 games
56%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Mira · 33 games
61%
Mars
Marssignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 32 games
66%
Puck
Puckoften banned
Mikoto · 27 games
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Mira · 26 games
69%
Ursa
Ursasignature
Nightfall · 26 games
65%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
Kaori · 25 games
64%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 24 games
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
615 picks · 955 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
519 picks · 419 bans
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
461 picks · 630 bans
57%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
434 picks · 968 bans
55%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
419 picks · 527 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
413 picks · 462 bans
47%
Warlock
Warlock
413 picks · 253 bans
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
394 picks · 653 bans
59%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 77%
Hero pool strength52% Aurora Gaming
Head-to-head5 – 4
Model total59% Aurora Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct18:34
BETBOOM TEAM 44%Aurora Gaming 56%
The model gave 56% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 36:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Batrider
BatriderMieRo
51% · 279 games51% · 283 games
Shadow FiendNightfall
Shadow Fiend
Puck
PuckgpK~
51% · 489 games52% · 408 games
Void SpiritLorenof
Void Spirit
Ursa
UrsaKiritych
48% · 230 games49% · 437 games
MarsWs
Mars
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
55% · 272 games39% · 283 games
Dark WillowMira
Dark Willow
Disruptor
DisruptorKataomi
55% · 314 games51% · 173 games
PhoenixKaori
Phoenix
Game 2prediction correct28:43
BETBOOM TEAM 43%Aurora Gaming 57%
The model gave 57% on Aurora Gaming — the game was taken by Aurora Gaming in 56:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Void Spirit
Void SpiritgpK~
53% · 371 game47% · 571 game
PuckLorenof
Puck
Muerta
MuertaKiritych
54% · 228 games47% · 352 games
AbaddonNightfall
Abaddon
Batrider
BatriderMieRo
49% · 345 games49% · 371 game
MarsWs
Mars
Tusk
TuskKataomi
47% · 607 games52% · 313 games
Shadow DemonMira
Shadow Demon
Marci
MarciSave-
53% · 237 games50% · 181 game
PhoenixKaori
Phoenix
Model check result
Model favoriteAurora Gaming · 59%
Series resultAurora Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2