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DreamLeague Season 24 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
AVULUSloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 24 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 20 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
MieRo · 17 games
59%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 16 games
56%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 16 games
63%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 16 games
69%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MieRo · 14 games
57%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Save- · 13 games
54%

AVULUS

Batrider
Batridersignature
Ekki · 22 games
77%
Lion
Lionsignature
Ekki · 22 games
77%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
SoNNeikO · 21 game
71%
Puck
Pucksignature
Stormstormer · 21 game
67%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Xibbe · 19 games
74%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Smiling Knight · 18 games
78%
Tusk
Tusksignature
SoNNeikO · 18 games
72%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
Ekki · 17 games
59%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
376 picks · 500 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
372 picks · 345 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
323 picks · 464 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
305 picks · 599 bans
51%
Luna
Luna
300 picks · 356 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
274 picks · 141 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
252 picks · 407 bans
47%
Batrider
Batrider
251 picks · 254 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)42% vs 64%
Hero pool strength57% AVULUS
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct28:16
BETBOOM TEAM 56%AVULUS 44%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 43:59.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey Kingkiyotaka
48% · 126 games47% · 250 games
Dragon KnightSmiling Knight
Dragon Knight
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendPure~
51% · 125 games57% · 180 games
Storm SpiritStormstormer
Storm Spirit
Sand King
Sand KingMieRo
47% · 131 game53% · 51 game
DawnbreakerXibbe
Dawnbreaker
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
48% · 304 games51% · 250 games
PhoenixSoNNeikO
Phoenix
Tusk
TuskKataomi
44% · 233 games54% · 188 games
LionEkki
Lion
Game 2prediction correct34:11
BETBOOM TEAM 57%AVULUS 43%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 29:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightPure~
49% · 317 games56% · 187 games
AlchemistSmiling Knight
Alchemist
Timbersaw
TimbersawMieRo
52% · 203 games57% · 350 games
Primal BeastStormstormer
Primal Beast
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritkiyotaka
43% · 99 games52% · 71 game
DawnbreakerXibbe
Dawnbreaker
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
42% · 326 games48% · 356 games
BatriderEkki
Batrider
Enchantress
EnchantressKataomi
51% · 321 game51% · 302 games
PhoenixSoNNeikO
Phoenix
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 66%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2