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DreamLeague Season 29. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
series probability
94%6%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Breeki Cheekiwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 46 games
61%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 36 games
61%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 35 games
57%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 28 games
54%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Save- · 26 games
46%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 25 games
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 24 games
63%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 23 games
74%

Breeki Cheeki

Slardar
Slardaroften banned
ChodΣX · 2 games
100%
Chen
Chenoften banned
asdekor_r · 1 game
100%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
OneJey · 1 game
100%
Luna
Luna
DarkLord^ · 1 game
100%
Muerta
Muerta
DarkLord^ · 1 game
100%
Puck
Puckoften banned
спортик · 1 game
100%
Snapfire
Snapfire
OneJey · 1 game
100%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
ChodΣX · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
633 picks · 696 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
511 picks · 451 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
484 picks · 388 bans
50%
Warlock
Warlock
431 picks · 288 bans
48%
Phoenix
Phoenix
407 picks · 354 bans
55%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
388 picks · 1075 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
382 picks · 806 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
379 picks · 564 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 67%
Hero pool strength53% Breeki Cheeki
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total94% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed40:37
BETBOOM TEAM 79%Breeki Cheeki 21%
The model gave 79% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Breeki Cheeki in 57:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerMieRo
43% · 155 games44% · 67 games
MuertaDarkLord^
Muerta
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidKiritych
51% · 71 game52% · 91 game
TimbersawChodΣX
Timbersaw
Huskar
HuskargpK~
66% · 59 games40% · 143 games
Puckспортик
Puck
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
59% · 90 games46% · 58 games
Enchantressasdekor_r
Enchantress
Lich
LichKataomi
49% · 10 games58% · 26 games
MagnusOneJey
Magnus
Game 2prediction correct62:17
BETBOOM TEAM 80%Breeki Cheeki 20%
The model gave 80% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 49:05.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingKiritych
51% · 175 games42% · 45 games
ClinkzDarkLord^
Clinkz
Queen of Pain
Queen of PaingpK~
46% · 256 games51% · 321 game
Storm Spiritспортик
Storm Spirit
Axe
AxeMieRo
52% · 199 games59% · 246 games
SlardarChodΣX
Slardar
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
54% · 317 games47% · 97 games
ClockwerkOneJey
Clockwerk
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernKataomi
50% · 4 games46% · 242 games
Ringmasterasdekor_r
Ringmaster
Game 3prediction missed13:26
BETBOOM TEAM 80%Breeki Cheeki 20%
The model gave 80% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Breeki Cheeki in 32:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeKiritych
54% · 238 games50% · 30 games
Phantom LancerDarkLord^
Phantom Lancer
Pangolier
PangoliergpK~
45% · 254 games50% · 246 games
BristlebackChodΣX
Bristleback
Doom
DoomMieRo
46% · 110 games52% · 286 games
Slardarспортик
Slardar
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernKataomi
little data48% · 100 games
ClockwerkOneJey
Clockwerk
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
48% · 248 games58% · 188 games
Baneasdekor_r
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 94%
Series resultBreeki Cheeki 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3