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DreamLeague Season 25 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Chimera Esportswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 32 games
75%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 27 games
59%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 27 games
81%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 23 games
70%
Magnus
Magnussignature
MieRo · 20 games
75%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 20 games
65%
Lich
Lichsignature
Kataomi · 19 games
74%

Chimera Esports

Muerta
Muertasignature
OneJey · 21 game
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Lorenof · 20 games
65%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
Daxak · 16 games
88%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
Daxak · 14 games
79%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
OneJey · 13 games
77%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Lorenof · 13 games
69%
Pugna
Pugna
Panto · 13 games
54%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
OneJey · 13 games
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
508 picks · 642 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
501 picks · 802 bans
53%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
482 picks · 483 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
451 picks · 553 bans
50%
Magnus
Magnus
424 picks · 1017 bans
57%
Muerta
Muerta
422 picks · 366 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
399 picks · 762 bans
56%
Lich
Lich
387 picks · 210 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 65%
Hero pool strength52% Chimera Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total73% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct32:9
BETBOOM TEAM 59%Chimera Esports 41%
The model gave 59% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 36:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistPure~
54% · 118 games47% · 147 games
Storm SpiritLorenof
Storm Spirit
Visage
VisageMieRo
43% · 48 games51% · 105 games
Templar AssassinTA2000
Templar Assassin
Puck
PuckgpK~
52% · 195 games59% · 98 games
EnigmaDaxak
Enigma
Marci
MarciSave-
45% · 105 games46% · 111 games
MuertaOneJey
Muerta
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernKataomi
48% · 25 games57% · 30 games
IoPanto
Io
Game 2prediction missed16:28
BETBOOM TEAM 59%Chimera Esports 41%
The model gave 59% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Chimera Esports in 40:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistPure~
55% · 166 games43% · 36 games
Nature's ProphetTA2000
Nature's Prophet
Puck
PuckgpK~
53% · 206 games49% · 128 games
Storm SpiritLorenof
Storm Spirit
Visage
VisageMieRo
47% · 67 games59% · 107 games
EnigmaDaxak
Enigma
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterSave-
47% · 69 games55% · 166 games
EnchantressPanto
Enchantress
Warlock
WarlockKataomi
39% · 58 games46% · 129 games
MuertaOneJey
Muerta
Game 3prediction missed38:42
BETBOOM TEAM 61%Chimera Esports 39%
The model gave 61% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Chimera Esports in 1:13:19.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingPure~
52% · 159 games47% · 262 games
Storm SpiritLorenof
Storm Spirit
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
47% · 164 games44% · 68 games
Nature's ProphetTA2000
Nature's Prophet
Muerta
MuertaSave-
47% · 126 games53% · 103 games
Naga SirenPanto
Naga Siren
Primal Beast
Primal BeastgpK~
49% · 157 games63% · 190 games
EnigmaDaxak
Enigma
Weaver
WeaverKataomi
55% · 98 games41% · 81 game
TechiesOneJey
Techies
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 73%
Series resultChimera Esports 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3