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Pinnacle Cup: Malta Vibes #2 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
79%21%
probability at match start · final 2:0
cybercatsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 19 games
63%
Rubick
Rubick
Save- · 19 games
58%
Tiny
Tinysignature
gpK~ · 18 games
61%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Save- · 16 games
63%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 15 games
73%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
77%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
gpK~ · 13 games
69%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 13 games
62%

cybercats

Rubick
Rubick
jesv · 15 games
40%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
forcemajor · 11 games
55%
Disruptor
Disruptor
forcemajor · 11 games
55%
Techies
Techies
jesv · 11 games
27%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 11 games
45%
Mirana
Mirana
forcemajor · 10 games
50%
Doom
Doomoften banned
zenica · 9 games
44%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 9 games
44%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
713 picks · 613 bans
47%
Disruptor
Disruptor
591 picks · 516 bans
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
493 picks · 1222 bans
59%
Doom
Doom
492 picks · 942 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
437 picks · 1096 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
426 picks · 882 bans
54%
Mirana
Mirana
413 picks · 219 bans
59%
Enchantress
Enchantress
409 picks · 583 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 56%
Hero pool strength60% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total79% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct42:17
BETBOOM TEAM 66%cybercats 34%
The model gave 66% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 36:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaNightfall
50% · 6 games39% · 102 games
Windrangeryoung G
Windranger
Beastmaster
BeastmasterPure~
58% · 214 games43% · 175 games
MagnusDarkLord^
Magnus
Pangolier
PangoliergpK~
59% · 233 games49% · 282 games
Batriderforcemajor
Batrider
Techies
TechiesSave-
60% · 171 game40% · 92 games
Winter WyvernDkFogas
Winter Wyvern
Undying
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
48% · 166 games48% · 139 games
LichDukalis
Lich
Game 2prediction correct28:9
BETBOOM TEAM 68%cybercats 32%
The model gave 68% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 26:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendgpK~
46% · 165 games53% · 126 games
Templar Assassinyoung G
Templar Assassin
Void Spirit
Void SpiritNightfall
46% · 158 games53% · 208 games
TerrorbladeDarkLord^
Terrorblade
Magnus
MagnusPure~
47% · 131 game50% · 139 games
BloodseekerDkFogas
Bloodseeker
Techies
TechiesSave-
54% · 152 games53% · 163 games
Lichforcemajor
Lich
Disruptor
DisruptorTORONTOTOKYO
52% · 286 games47% · 256 games
UndyingDukalis
Undying
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 79%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2