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Riyadh Masters 2024 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:2
series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Entitywin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 28 games
61%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Save- · 28 games
68%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 27 games
56%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 24 games
67%
Lion
Lion
Save- · 23 games
52%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 21 game
48%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 19 games
74%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Save- · 18 games
44%

Entity

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
DM · 1 game
0%
Chaos Knight
Chaos Knightoften banned
Watson · 1 game
0%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
Fishman · 1 game
0%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
Kataomi · 1 game
0%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
No[o]ne · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
385 picks · 670 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
319 picks · 452 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
319 picks · 374 bans
51%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
311 picks · 351 bans
51%
Weaver
Weaver
311 picks · 592 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
307 picks · 191 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
302 picks · 219 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
290 picks · 532 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 73%
Hero pool strength59% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total53% Entity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct0:0
BETBOOM TEAM 49%Entity 51%
The model gave 51% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 18316:20:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaNightfall
44% · 101 game57% · 13 games
Sand KingNo[o]ne
Sand King
Brewmaster
BrewmasterMieRo
52% · 153 games55% · 189 games
Dark SeerDM
Dark Seer
Invoker
InvokergpK~
51% · 60 games59% · 103 games
Troll WarlordWatson
Troll Warlord
Rubick
RubickSave-
41% · 310 games48% · 213 games
HoodwinkKataomi
Hoodwink
Enchantress
EnchantressTORONTOTOKYO
47% · 192 games51% · 298 games
Crystal MaidenFishman
Crystal Maiden
Game 2prediction correct28:26
BETBOOM TEAM 47%Entity 53%
The model gave 53% on Entity — the game was taken by Entity in 50:23.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntity · 53%
Series resultEntity 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2