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BetBoom Dacha · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Evil Geniusesloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 37 games
68%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 32 games
56%
Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 31 game
65%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 29 games
69%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 29 games
69%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 27 games
67%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 27 games
74%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Save- · 22 games
86%

Evil Geniuses

Snapfire
Snapfire
Wisper · 29 games
45%
Rubick
Rubick
Matthew · 26 games
35%
Primal Beast
Primal Beastoften banned
Wisper · 25 games
56%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Chris Luck · 23 games
65%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Pakazs · 22 games
55%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Chris Luck · 21 game
57%
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath Mage
Panda · 21 game
57%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Wisper · 20 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
430 picks · 206 bans
47%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
334 picks · 504 bans
51%
Techies
Techies
321 picks · 326 bans
51%
Batrider
Batrider
296 picks · 506 bans
53%
Morphling
Morphling
292 picks · 560 bans
52%
Undying
Undying
292 picks · 478 bans
46%
Timbersaw
Timbersaw
270 picks · 641 bans
49%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
258 picks · 483 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 24%
Hero pool strength59% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total67% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed11:28
BETBOOM TEAM 61%Evil Geniuses 39%
The model gave 61% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Evil Geniuses in 29:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
49% · 134 games53% · 81 game
SvenPakazs
Sven
Troll Warlord
Troll WarlordNightfall
53% · 40 games55% · 273 games
PangolierChris Luck
Pangolier
Earthshaker
EarthshakerPure~
50% · 93 games59% · 26 games
Night StalkerWisper
Night Stalker
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
48% · 99 games42% · 73 games
DawnbreakerMatthew
Dawnbreaker
Silencer
SilencerTORONTOTOKYO
42% · 143 games56% · 56 games
Vengeful SpiritPanda
Vengeful Spirit
Game 2prediction correct28:19
BETBOOM TEAM 62%Evil Geniuses 38%
The model gave 62% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 47:16.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sven
SvenNightfall
54% · 64 games52% · 168 games
MorphlingPakazs
Morphling
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
56% · 160 games42% · 144 games
PuckChris Luck
Puck
Tidehunter
TidehunterPure~
53% · 86 games33% · 47 games
BrewmasterWisper
Brewmaster
Phoenix
PhoenixTORONTOTOKYO
44% · 65 games46% · 63 games
DawnbreakerPanda
Dawnbreaker
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
63% · 105 games49% · 58 games
LionMatthew
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 67%
Accuracy by game1 of 2