PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2series probability
69%31%
probability at match start · final 1:2
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 26 games
Lion
Save- · 22 games
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 22 games
Dragon Knightsignature
gpK~ · 21 game
Tinysignature
Save- · 21 game
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 19 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 19 games
Enigmasignature
MieRo · 17 games
G2 Invictus Gaming
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
482 picks · 213 bans
Tiny
442 picks · 632 bans
Batrider
416 picks · 736 bans
Centaur Warrunner
397 picks · 557 bans
Rubick
395 picks · 159 bans
Gyrocopter
386 picks · 337 bans
Pangolier
369 picks · 755 bans
Mars
341 picks · 552 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 46%
Hero pool strength58% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total69% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:27
BETBOOM TEAM 69%G2 Invictus Gaming 31%
The model gave 69% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 40:12.
Game 2prediction correct29:3
BETBOOM TEAM 69%G2 Invictus Gaming 31%
The model gave 69% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 37:24.
Game 3prediction missed8:31
BETBOOM TEAM 69%G2 Invictus Gaming 31%
The model gave 69% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 39:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 69%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3