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DreamLeague Season 20 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 25 games
64%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Save- · 24 games
63%
Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 23 games
74%
Tiny
Tiny
gpK~ · 23 games
57%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Nightfall · 21 game
57%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Save- · 21 game
62%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 18 games
72%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 17 games
71%

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 56 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 36 games
67%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
tOfu · 33 games
76%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 32 games
75%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 30 games
67%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Ace · 29 games
72%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 29 games
69%
Doom
Doomsignature
Ace · 28 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
697 picks · 485 bans
47%
Doom
Doom
565 picks · 1097 bans
53%
Techies
Techies
564 picks · 613 bans
55%
Disruptor
Disruptor
557 picks · 500 bans
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
533 picks · 1218 bans
58%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
466 picks · 1035 bans
50%
Enchantress
Enchantress
460 picks · 669 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
457 picks · 914 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 62%
Hero pool strength53% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total76% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:14
BETBOOM TEAM 37%Gaimin Gladiators 63%
The model gave 63% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingNightfall
56% · 153 games43% · 172 games
Terrorbladedyrachyo
Terrorblade
Primal Beast
Primal BeastgpK~
48% · 145 games47% · 124 games
PuckQuinn
Puck
Axe
AxePure~
53% · 27 games49% · 109 games
BroodmotherAce
Broodmother
Techies
TechiesSave-
54% · 162 games45% · 43 games
LiontOfu
Lion
Spirit Breaker
Spirit BreakerTORONTOTOKYO
55% · 82 games48% · 121 game
LichSeleri
Lich
Game 2prediction missed37:13
BETBOOM TEAM 37%Gaimin Gladiators 63%
The model gave 63% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 52:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Slark
SlarkNightfall
51% · 135 games49% · 225 games
Morphlingdyrachyo
Morphling
Primal Beast
Primal BeastgpK~
50% · 200 games41% · 121 game
WindrangerQuinn
Windranger
Tidehunter
TidehunterPure~
48% · 124 games53% · 326 games
BeastmasterAce
Beastmaster
Techies
TechiesSave-
48% · 247 games64% · 64 games
ChenSeleri
Chen
Lich
LichTORONTOTOKYO
46% · 132 games50% · 102 games
Shadow DemontOfu
Shadow Demon
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 76%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2