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DreamLeague Season 21 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 37 games
68%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 32 games
56%
Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 31 game
65%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 29 games
72%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 27 games
70%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 26 games
65%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Save- · 26 games
69%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Save- · 24 games
83%

Gaimin Gladiators

Rubick
Rubicksignature
tOfu · 48 games
69%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 42 games
64%
Undying
Undyingsignature
Seleri · 40 games
65%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 38 games
63%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Ace · 36 games
58%
Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Seleri · 35 games
77%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
dyrachyo · 33 games
64%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Quinn · 31 game
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
373 picks · 181 bans
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
286 picks · 408 bans
50%
Undying
Undying
241 picks · 416 bans
45%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
229 picks · 375 bans
50%
Batrider
Batrider
228 picks · 357 bans
56%
Pangolier
Pangolier
223 picks · 443 bans
52%
Techies
Techies
221 picks · 176 bans
50%
Morphling
Morphling
219 picks · 411 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 58%
Hero pool strength50% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head4 – 3
Model total67% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed39:5
BETBOOM TEAM 41%Gaimin Gladiators 59%
The model gave 59% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 30:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterNightfall
55% · 64 games33% · 75 games
Phantom Assassindyrachyo
Phantom Assassin
Beastmaster
BeastmasterPure~
46% · 116 games60% · 54 games
RazorAce
Razor
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
52% · 49 games50% · 103 games
EarthshakerQuinn
Earthshaker
Undying
UndyingTORONTOTOKYO
47% · 107 games50% · 42 games
Ancient ApparitiontOfu
Ancient Apparition
Bane
BaneSave-
56% · 5 games57% · 67 games
Vengeful SpiritSeleri
Vengeful Spirit
Game 2prediction missed37:13
BETBOOM TEAM 40%Gaimin Gladiators 60%
The model gave 60% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 41:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeNightfall
48% · 192 games56% · 60 games
Razordyrachyo
Razor
Tiny
TinygpK~
42% · 268 games47% · 190 games
Storm SpiritQuinn
Storm Spirit
Dazzle
DazzlePure~
34% · 7 games51% · 124 games
Dark SeerAce
Dark Seer
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
51% · 129 games57% · 286 games
Nature's ProphettOfu
Nature's Prophet
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorTORONTOTOKYO
52% · 152 games51% · 88 games
IoSeleri
Io
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 67%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2