BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Dark Willowsignature
Save- · 23 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 20 games
Invokersignature
gpK~ · 16 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Pure~ · 15 games
Enchantressoften banned
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
Phoenixsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
Legion Commanderoften banned
Pure~ · 10 games
Terrorbladesignature
Nightfall · 10 games
Gaimin Gladiators
Pangoliersignature
Quinn · 27 games
Muertasignature
tOfu · 18 games
Gyrocopter
dyrachyo · 16 games
Alchemistsignature
dyrachyo · 12 games
Grimstrokesignature
tOfu · 12 games
Lone Druidsignature
Ace · 12 games
Phoenixoften banned
Seleri · 12 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Seleri · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Centaur Warrunner
370 picks · 565 bans
Lion
339 picks · 292 bans
Vengeful Spirit
332 picks · 286 bans
Phoenix
313 picks · 453 bans
Pangolier
296 picks · 404 bans
Magnus
291 picks · 476 bans
Nature's Prophet
282 picks · 775 bans
Grimstroke
280 picks · 443 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 48%
Hero pool strength51% Gaimin Gladiators
Head-to-head5 – 2
Model total64% Gaimin Gladiators
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:7
BETBOOM TEAM 45%Gaimin Gladiators 55%
The model gave 55% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 27:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
MedusaNightfall
Svendyrachyo
Storm SpiritgpK~
BeastmasterAce
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
Death ProphetQuinn
TechiesSave-
DisruptortOfu
Nature's ProphetTORONTOTOKYO
Vengeful SpiritSeleri
Game 2prediction missed38:17
BETBOOM TEAM 42%Gaimin Gladiators 58%
The model gave 58% on Gaimin Gladiators — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:13:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga SirenNightfall
Svendyrachyo
PuckgpK~
DazzleAce
TimbersawMieRo
ViperQuinn
PhoenixTORONTOTOKYO
Crystal MaidenSeleri
LionSave-
TinytOfu
Model check result
Model favoriteGaimin Gladiators · 64%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2