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FISSURE Universe: Episode 4 · BO5
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 3:0
series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 3:0
Gaimin Gladiatorsloss 0:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 38 games
74%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 30 games
70%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 26 games
62%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 23 games
65%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
68%
Magnus
Magnussignature
MieRo · 21 game
76%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Kataomi · 20 games
60%

Gaimin Gladiators

Muerta
Muertasignature
tOfu · 38 games
71%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Quinn · 22 games
55%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Watson · 19 games
42%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Watson · 19 games
42%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Ace · 18 games
56%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Watson · 18 games
56%
Mirana
Mirana
tOfu · 17 games
59%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Seleri · 16 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
515 picks · 711 bans
48%
Phoenix
Phoenix
426 picks · 698 bans
52%
Muerta
Muerta
425 picks · 312 bans
52%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
409 picks · 399 bans
52%
Bristleback
Bristleback
377 picks · 866 bans
57%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassin
377 picks · 639 bans
52%
Magnus
Magnus
376 picks · 997 bans
58%
Pangolier
Pangolier
364 picks · 505 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 52%
Hero pool strength57% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total65% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:10
BETBOOM TEAM 60%Gaimin Gladiators 40%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 36:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinPure~
47% · 150 games55% · 339 games
TinyWatson
Tiny
Kunkka
KunkkagpK~
55% · 106 games50% · 135 games
SniperQuinn
Sniper
Bristleback
BristlebackMieRo
54% · 264 games45% · 270 games
BeastmasterAce
Beastmaster
Jakiro
JakiroKataomi
49% · 227 games40% · 44 games
TinkerMalady
Tinker
Muerta
MuertaSave-
54% · 299 games48% · 258 games
HoodwinktOfu
Hoodwink
Game 2prediction correct36:11
BETBOOM TEAM 57%Gaimin Gladiators 43%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 35:17.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingPure~
58% · 238 games47% · 259 games
BeastmasterAce
Beastmaster
Tiny
TinygpK~
47% · 456 games54% · 161 game
LifestealerWatson
Lifestealer
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
56% · 172 games50% · 230 games
Storm SpiritQuinn
Storm Spirit
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
43% · 85 games51% · 98 games
WarlockMalady
Warlock
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernKataomi
46% · 23 games43% · 226 games
MuertatOfu
Muerta
Game 3prediction correct47:14
BETBOOM TEAM 61%Gaimin Gladiators 39%
The model gave 61% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 41:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterPure~
53% · 218 games49% · 130 games
Templar AssassinWatson
Templar Assassin
Magnus
MagnusgpK~
55% · 154 games52% · 110 games
Sand KingAce
Sand King
Enigma
EnigmaMieRo
50% · 105 games44% · 103 games
SniperQuinn
Sniper
Ringmaster
RingmasterSave-
44% · 14 games47% · 108 games
EarthshakertOfu
Earthshaker
Naga Siren
Naga SirenKataomi
53% · 95 games48% · 135 games
JakiroMalady
Jakiro
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 65%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 3:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3