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ESSENCE II · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
89%11%
probability at match start · final 2:0
GamerLegionloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 32 games
63%
Kez
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 30 games
73%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 26 games
58%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 23 games
74%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
gpK~ · 23 games
65%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 23 games
61%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Kataomi · 21 game
57%
Largo
Largosignature
MieRo · 21 game
71%

GamerLegion

Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
RCY · 19 games
53%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Bignum · 19 games
74%
Kez
Kezoften banned
RCY · 17 games
59%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Speeed · 17 games
41%
Rubick
Rubick
Bignum · 17 games
59%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Bignum · 16 games
31%
Warlock
Warlock
Speeed · 16 games
44%
Largo
Largooften banned
Fayde · 15 games
47%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
515 picks · 371 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
376 picks · 226 bans
47%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
368 picks · 650 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
340 picks · 347 bans
49%
Windranger
Windranger
319 picks · 235 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
316 picks · 332 bans
60%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
303 picks · 443 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
296 picks · 392 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 43%
Hero pool strength60% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head3 – 0
Model total89% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:11
BETBOOM TEAM 75%GamerLegion 25%
The model gave 75% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Necrophos
NecrophosKiritych
43% · 65 games49% · 42 games
Drow RangerGhost
Drow Ranger
Enigma
EnigmaMieRo
49% · 77 games51% · 100 games
InvokerRCY
Invoker
Pangolier
PangoliergpK~
45% · 211 games53% · 194 games
Centaur WarrunnerFayde
Centaur Warrunner
Muerta
MuertaSave-
55% · 124 games52% · 91 game
UndyingSpeeed
Undying
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernKataomi
60% · 48 games46% · 98 games
Dark WillowBignum
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction correct23:20
BETBOOM TEAM 74%GamerLegion 26%
The model gave 74% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Shadow Fiend
Shadow FiendKiritych
57% · 238 games45% · 102 games
LycanFayde
Lycan
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
54% · 174 games48% · 350 games
WindrangerGhost
Windranger
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritgpK~
52% · 250 games51% · 63 games
SlarkRCY
Slark
Rubick
RubickSave-
43% · 158 games44% · 156 games
UndyingSpeeed
Undying
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernKataomi
52% · 66 games54% · 215 games
BaneBignum
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 89%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2