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ESL One Birmingham 2026. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:0
HULIGANIloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 42 games
60%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 25 games
64%
Bane
Bane
Kataomi · 23 games
57%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 23 games
48%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 22 games
45%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 21 game
52%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 20 games
65%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
gpK~ · 19 games
63%

HULIGANI

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 37 games
70%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Bb3px · 37 games
57%
Chen
Chenoften banned
RESPECT · 34 games
59%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
slimeyao · 32 games
72%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
slimeyao · 30 games
60%
Snapfire
Snapfire
RESPECT · 29 games
52%
Tusk
Tusk
slimeyao · 29 games
59%
Warlock
Warlock
RESPECT · 29 games
52%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
539 picks · 754 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
488 picks · 342 bans
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
463 picks · 636 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
441 picks · 544 bans
56%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
371 picks · 654 bans
54%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
359 picks · 556 bans
50%
Mars
Mars
337 picks · 463 bans
49%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
335 picks · 149 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 69%
Hero pool strength54% HULIGANI
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total84% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:10
BETBOOM TEAM 69%HULIGANI 31%
The model gave 69% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 41:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lifestealer
LifestealerKiritych
49% · 151 game57% · 135 games
Juggernautv1olent-
Juggernaut
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
44% · 319 games49% · 190 games
Shadow Fienderase
Shadow Fiend
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
52% · 345 games45% · 320 games
MarsBb3px
Mars
Phoenix
PhoenixSave-
52% · 123 games50% · 300 games
Shadow Demonslimeyao
Shadow Demon
Disruptor
DisruptorKataomi
49% · 288 games55% · 281 game
RingmasterRESPECT
Ringmaster
Game 2prediction correct32:4
BETBOOM TEAM 71%HULIGANI 29%
The model gave 71% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 19:33.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Axe
AxeMieRo
53% · 246 games49% · 275 games
TidehunterBb3px
Tidehunter
Abaddon
AbaddonKiritych
47% · 346 games52% · 383 games
Gyrocopterv1olent-
Gyrocopter
Tiny
TinygpK~
47% · 484 games52% · 461 game
Storm Spiriterase
Storm Spirit
Jakiro
JakiroSave-
47% · 610 games52% · 226 games
Pugnaslimeyao
Pugna
Ancient Apparition
Ancient ApparitionKataomi
53% · 192 games47% · 533 games
TuskRESPECT
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 84%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2