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ESSENCE II · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
LGD Gamingloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 32 games
63%
Kez
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 30 games
73%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 25 games
56%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
gpK~ · 23 games
65%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 23 games
61%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 22 games
73%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Kataomi · 21 game
57%
Largo
Largosignature
MieRo · 21 game
71%

LGD Gaming

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Thiolicor · 19 games
74%
Bane
Banesignature
KJ · 17 games
65%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
KJ · 17 games
65%
Largo
Largooften banned
Wisper · 11 games
45%
Puck
Pucksignature
TaiLung · 11 games
73%
Drow Ranger
Drow Rangersignature
Yuma · 10 games
70%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Thiolicor · 10 games
70%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Wisper · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
508 picks · 368 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
377 picks · 227 bans
47%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
364 picks · 647 bans
55%
Tiny
Tiny
340 picks · 345 bans
49%
Windranger
Windranger
318 picks · 234 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
316 picks · 325 bans
60%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
299 picks · 438 bans
54%
Pangolier
Pangolier
294 picks · 394 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 66%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 2
Model total64% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct26:26
BETBOOM TEAM 57%LGD Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 51:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Io
IoKiritych
49% · 21 game51% · 201 game
Nature's ProphetYuma
Nature's Prophet
Viper
ViperMieRo
49% · 120 games52% · 70 games
NecrophosTaiLung
Necrophos
Snapfire
SnapfiregpK~
47% · 265 games47% · 89 games
EnigmaWisper
Enigma
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
54% · 381 game46% · 270 games
WindrangerThiolicor
Windranger
Undying
UndyingKataomi
55% · 114 games51% · 271 game
ClockwerkKJ
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct18:4
BETBOOM TEAM 57%LGD Gaming 43%
The model gave 57% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 22:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerKiritych
42% · 23 games40% · 26 games
LinaTaiLung
Lina
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
44% · 291 game56% · 212 games
BatriderWisper
Batrider
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritgpK~
49% · 296 games59% · 100 games
ClinkzYuma
Clinkz
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
51% · 142 games52% · 436 games
HoodwinkThiolicor
Hoodwink
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernKataomi
44% · 50 games51% · 28 games
OracleKJ
Oracle
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 64%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2