?
arrow_backBack to match
FISSURE Universe: Episode 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 2:1
M80loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 34 games
74%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 25 games
72%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Save- · 24 games
63%
Invoker
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 22 games
68%
Magnus
Magnussignature
MieRo · 21 game
76%
Lich
Lichsignature
Kataomi · 19 games
74%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakersignature
MieRo · 18 games
67%

M80

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
MoOz · 28 games
57%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Elmisho · 25 games
56%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
MoOz · 22 games
68%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
Elmisho · 18 games
56%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
K1 · 18 games
61%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
DarkMago · 18 games
78%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
MoOz · 18 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
K1 · 16 games
56%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
500 picks · 686 bans
49%
Phoenix
Phoenix
437 picks · 705 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
424 picks · 412 bans
53%
Muerta
Muerta
413 picks · 323 bans
53%
Bristleback
Bristleback
376 picks · 875 bans
59%
Magnus
Magnus
376 picks · 957 bans
58%
Batrider
Batrider
371 picks · 429 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
368 picks · 503 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 58%
Hero pool strength56% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total90% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:32
BETBOOM TEAM 75%M80 25%
The model gave 75% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by M80 in 50:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey King
Monkey KingPure~
60% · 117 games41% · 65 games
AbaddonK1
Abaddon
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
44% · 254 games58% · 338 games
TinyDarkMago
Tiny
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightgpK~
45% · 282 games56% · 122 games
Dark SeerILICH-
Dark Seer
Ringmaster
RingmasterSave-
36% · 10 games58% · 25 games
Ancient ApparitionElmisho
Ancient Apparition
Silencer
SilencerKataomi
44% · 49 games50% · 162 games
JakiroMoOz
Jakiro
Game 2prediction correct29:8
BETBOOM TEAM 73%M80 27%
The model gave 73% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 32:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinPure~
57% · 149 games55% · 194 games
AlchemistK1
Alchemist
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
43% · 313 games54% · 296 games
BristlebackILICH-
Bristleback
Pangolier
PangoliergpK~
41% · 450 games54% · 527 games
TinyDarkMago
Tiny
Tinker
TinkerKataomi
52% · 27 games47% · 314 games
Shadow DemonElmisho
Shadow Demon
Batrider
BatriderSave-
50% · 421 game52% · 29 games
SilencerMoOz
Silencer
Game 3prediction correct30:11
BETBOOM TEAM 75%M80 25%
The model gave 75% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 28:31.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Assassin
Phantom AssassinPure~
48% · 165 games51% · 476 games
GyrocopterK1
Gyrocopter
Tiny
TinygpK~
50% · 494 games44% · 529 games
PangolierDarkMago
Pangolier
Bristleback
BristlebackMieRo
56% · 215 games46% · 141 game
TidehunterILICH-
Tidehunter
Muerta
MuertaSave-
48% · 265 games49% · 205 games
WeaverElmisho
Weaver
Phoenix
PhoenixKataomi
54% · 367 games54% · 155 games
Night StalkerMoOz
Night Stalker
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 90%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3