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BLAST Slam IV · BO1
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 0:1
series probability
56%44%
probability at match start · final 0:1
MOUZwin 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
63%
Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 31 game
74%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 25 games
60%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 25 games
60%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 24 games
54%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 21 game
67%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 21 game
57%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 21 game
52%

MOUZ

Tusk
Tusksignature
yamich · 34 games
65%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Seleri · 31 game
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
MidOne · 29 games
66%
Juggernaut
Juggernautsignature
Crystallis · 25 games
76%
Pudge
Pudgesignature
yamich · 25 games
60%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
BOOM · 19 games
68%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
Crystallis · 18 games
61%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Seleri · 18 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
620 picks · 307 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
535 picks · 545 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
395 picks · 1111 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
375 picks · 197 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
357 picks · 606 bans
53%
Pugna
Pugna
352 picks · 392 bans
51%
Warlock
Warlock
349 picks · 159 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
343 picks · 266 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% MOUZ
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total56% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed28:34
BETBOOM TEAM 52%MOUZ 48%
The model gave 52% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by MOUZ in 45:43.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetgpK~
50% · 113 games45% · 102 games
Troll WarlordCrystallis
Troll Warlord
Doom
DoomMieRo
45% · 95 games55% · 70 games
BroodmotherMidOne
Broodmother
Ursa
UrsaKiritych
54% · 145 games50% · 120 games
TidehunterBOOM
Tidehunter
Disruptor
DisruptorKataomi
47% · 173 games46% · 369 games
SnapfireSeleri
Snapfire
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
54% · 211 games55% · 76 games
Pudgeyamich
Pudge
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 56%
Series resultMOUZ 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1