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ESL One Kuala Lumpur 2023. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
84%16%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Natus Vincereloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Techies
Techiessignature
Save- · 39 games
69%
Enchantress
Enchantressoften banned
Save- · 32 games
56%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Save- · 30 games
80%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 29 games
79%
Doom
Doomsignature
Pure~ · 28 games
64%
Undying
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 26 games
81%
Morphling
Morphlingsignature
Nightfall · 24 games
63%
Legion Commander
Legion Commandersignature
Pure~ · 23 games
70%

Natus Vincere

Rubick
Rubicksignature
xsvampire · 12 games
75%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Malik · 8 games
88%
Lion
Lionsignature
xsvampire · 8 games
75%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
mellojul · 8 games
75%
Sven
Svensignature
Shigetsu · 8 games
75%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Malady · 7 games
71%
Void Spirit
Void Spiritsignature
mellojul · 7 games
71%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Malik · 6 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
223 picks · 271 bans
52%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
221 picks · 98 bans
52%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
217 picks · 256 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
191 picks · 407 bans
53%
Phoenix
Phoenix
185 picks · 244 bans
47%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
182 picks · 402 bans
65%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
172 picks · 270 bans
47%
Sven
Sven
172 picks · 251 bans
57%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 62%
Hero pool strength52% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total84% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:11
BETBOOM TEAM 68%Natus Vincere 32%
The model gave 68% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 44:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidNightfall
49% · 101 game45% · 69 games
Spirit BreakerNefrit
Spirit Breaker
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerPure~
47% · 80 games57% · 70 games
MuertaShigetsu
Muerta
Zeus
ZeusgpK~
53% · 37 games53% · 23 games
Dazzlemellojul
Dazzle
Phoenix
PhoenixSave-
47% · 145 games54% · 194 games
TuskMalady
Tusk
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeTORONTOTOKYO
47% · 79 games52% · 86 games
Shadow DemonDaze
Shadow Demon
Game 2prediction missed15:22
BETBOOM TEAM 73%Natus Vincere 27%
The model gave 73% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Natus Vincere in 36:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Brewmaster
BrewmasterPure~
53% · 61 game51% · 53 games
LifestealerShigetsu
Lifestealer
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterNightfall
46% · 55 games54% · 25 games
Lone DruidNefrit
Lone Druid
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
55% · 95 games53% · 94 games
Kunkkamellojul
Kunkka
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorTORONTOTOKYO
54% · 278 games43% · 150 games
PhoenixMalady
Phoenix
Skywrath Mage
Skywrath MageSave-
49% · 82 games46% · 249 games
TuskDaze
Tusk
Game 3prediction correct33:22
BETBOOM TEAM 71%Natus Vincere 29%
The model gave 71% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 52:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Dazzle
DazzlePure~
52% · 27 games47% · 81 game
BrewmasterNefrit
Brewmaster
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
58% · 113 games52% · 109 games
SlarkShigetsu
Slark
Lifestealer
LifestealerNightfall
54% · 44 games46% · 91 game
Kunkkamellojul
Kunkka
Dark Willow
Dark WillowSave-
49% · 126 games51% · 189 games
Nature's ProphetMalady
Nature's Prophet
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorTORONTOTOKYO
50% · 213 games41% · 53 games
MuertaDaze
Muerta
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 84%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3