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BLAST Slam IV · BO1
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 1:0
series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Natus Vincereloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
63%
Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 31 game
74%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 25 games
60%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 25 games
60%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 24 games
54%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
50%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 21 game
67%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 21 game
57%

Natus Vincere

Warlock
Warlocksignature
Kaori · 23 games
61%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
pma · 21 game
57%
Disruptor
Disruptoroften banned
Riddys · 20 games
50%
Abaddon
Abaddonsignature
gotthejuice · 17 games
76%
Dazzle
Dazzleoften banned
Riddys · 17 games
53%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Kaori · 17 games
59%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Niku · 15 games
60%
Sven
Svensignature
gotthejuice · 15 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
628 picks · 312 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
542 picks · 550 bans
53%
Puck
Puck
403 picks · 1122 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
384 picks · 203 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
364 picks · 615 bans
53%
Pugna
Pugna
353 picks · 390 bans
51%
Warlock
Warlock
350 picks · 160 bans
52%
Tusk
Tusk
348 picks · 271 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 65%
Hero pool strength51% Natus Vincere
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total60% Natus Vincere
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed36:6
BETBOOM TEAM 42%Natus Vincere 58%
The model gave 58% on Natus Vincere — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 34:48.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterKiritych
50% · 216 games48% · 46 games
Juggernautgotthejuice
Juggernaut
Batrider
BatridergpK~
48% · 217 games54% · 175 games
Timbersawpma
Timbersaw
Legion Commander
Legion CommanderMieRo
40% · 7 games54% · 252 games
Ember SpiritNiku
Ember Spirit
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
43% · 167 games49% · 206 games
WarlockRiddys
Warlock
Disruptor
DisruptorKataomi
47% · 234 games60% · 162 games
BaneZayac
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteNatus Vincere · 60%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1