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The International 2025 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Nigma Galaxyloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Save- · 32 games
63%
Kunkka
Kunkkasignature
gpK~ · 31 game
65%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 30 games
60%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Pure~ · 29 games
69%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 29 games
59%
Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 27 games
81%
Silencer
Silenceroften banned
Kataomi · 26 games
50%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 25 games
60%

Nigma Galaxy

Tusk
Tusksignature
GH · 35 games
63%
Elder Titan
Elder Titansignature
GH · 25 games
60%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
No!ob · 24 games
50%
Puck
Pucksignature
SumaiL · 23 games
61%
Medusa
Medusaoften banned
Ghost · 21 game
48%
Doom
Doomoften banned
No!ob · 20 games
45%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Ghost · 19 games
42%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Ghost · 19 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
368 picks · 271 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
320 picks · 709 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
294 picks · 157 bans
47%
Tusk
Tusk
294 picks · 285 bans
47%
Batrider
Batrider
283 picks · 765 bans
55%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
264 picks · 611 bans
47%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
261 picks · 527 bans
57%
Marci
Marci
244 picks · 494 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 48%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total77% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:19
BETBOOM TEAM 66%Nigma Galaxy 34%
The model gave 66% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy in 1:04:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidPure~
little data61% · 17 games
Troll WarlordGhost
Troll Warlord
Earthshaker
EarthshakergpK~
53% · 179 games48% · 67 games
InvokerSumaiL
Invoker
Abaddon
AbaddonMieRo
48% · 153 games52% · 204 games
BeastmasterNo!ob
Beastmaster
Windranger
WindrangerSave-
50% · 120 games53% · 155 games
MuertaOmaR
Muerta
Disruptor
DisruptorKataomi
42% · 91 game52% · 100 games
PhoenixGH
Phoenix
Game 2prediction correct36:26
BETBOOM TEAM 64%Nigma Galaxy 36%
The model gave 64% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 43:41.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidPure~
55% · 47 games41% · 148 games
TerrorbladeGhost
Terrorblade
Lycan
LycanMieRo
50% · 167 games54% · 122 games
Nature's ProphetSumaiL
Nature's Prophet
Puck
PuckgpK~
55% · 449 games47% · 217 games
PangolierNo!ob
Pangolier
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeSave-
49% · 61 game51% · 200 games
TuskGH
Tusk
Disruptor
DisruptorKataomi
49% · 161 game50% · 198 games
TinyOmaR
Tiny
Game 3prediction correct32:17
BETBOOM TEAM 64%Nigma Galaxy 36%
The model gave 64% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 42:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar Assassin
Templar AssassinPure~
57% · 231 game47% · 164 games
Nature's ProphetSumaiL
Nature's Prophet
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerMieRo
52% · 197 games46% · 163 games
MorphlingGhost
Morphling
Puck
PuckgpK~
52% · 394 games46% · 120 games
MarsNo!ob
Mars
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeSave-
55% · 44 games42% · 186 games
MuertaOmaR
Muerta
Oracle
OracleKataomi
63% · 56 games44% · 289 games
TuskGH
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 77%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3