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DreamLeague Season 29 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nigma Galaxyloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 38 games
61%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Kataomi · 34 games
56%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 28 games
64%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 26 games
69%
Kez
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 21 game
81%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Kiritych · 21 game
57%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 21 game
57%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 20 games
70%

Nigma Galaxy

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
OmaR · 41 game
54%
Dazzle
Dazzle
GH · 28 games
50%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
GH · 26 games
65%
Muerta
Muertasignature
rincyq · 25 games
60%
Phoenix
Phoenixsignature
GH · 25 games
76%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
OmaR · 25 games
56%
Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Davai · 24 games
46%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
SumaiL · 24 games
54%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
542 picks · 330 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
504 picks · 588 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
445 picks · 372 bans
51%
Rubick
Rubick
409 picks · 223 bans
48%
Jakiro
Jakiro
386 picks · 280 bans
47%
Puck
Puck
348 picks · 880 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
339 picks · 306 bans
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
338 picks · 852 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 55%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total74% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct0:1
BETBOOM TEAM 63%Nigma Galaxy 37%
The model gave 63% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:02:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
49% · 315 games49% · 187 games
Terrorbladerincyq
Terrorblade
Kez
KezKiritych
54% · 118 games43% · 356 games
PangolierNo!ob
Pangolier
Snapfire
SnapfiregpK~
50% · 205 games42% · 164 games
AxeDavai
Axe
Bane
BaneKataomi
55% · 181 game51% · 148 games
RubickOmaR
Rubick
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
59% · 90 games47% · 54 games
TechiesGH
Techies
Game 2prediction correct31:15
BETBOOM TEAM 64%Nigma Galaxy 36%
The model gave 64% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 32:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaKiritych
52% · 186 games52% · 139 games
Medusarincyq
Medusa
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
44% · 351 game49% · 376 games
Centaur WarrunnerDavai
Centaur Warrunner
Void Spirit
Void SpiritgpK~
52% · 255 games48% · 426 games
PangolierNo!ob
Pangolier
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightSave-
59% · 79 games54% · 294 games
SnapfireOmaR
Snapfire
Tusk
TuskKataomi
49% · 439 games42% · 75 games
TechiesGH
Techies
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 74%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2