DreamLeague Season 20 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 1:1
OGloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 20 games
Enchantresssignature
Save- · 19 games
Rubick
Save- · 19 games
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 19 games
Pugnasignature
Save- · 16 games
Undyingsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 15 games
Storm Spiritsignature
gpK~ · 14 games
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
OG
Rubick
Taiga · 32 games
Invokeroften banned
bzm · 18 games
Disruptor
Chuvash · 17 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Taiga · 16 games
Doomsignature
DM · 15 games
Tinyoften banned
bzm · 15 games
Monkey Kingoften banned
Taiga · 14 games
Slarkoften banned
Yuragi · 14 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
754 picks · 634 bans
Disruptor
603 picks · 534 bans
Doom
532 picks · 1046 bans
Beastmaster
531 picks · 1315 bans
Ember Spirit
461 picks · 1176 bans
Pangolier
458 picks · 947 bans
Techies
443 picks · 459 bans
Mirana
439 picks · 225 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 41%
Hero pool strength54% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:34
BETBOOM TEAM 56%OG 44%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by OG in 42:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ember SpiritgpK~
MedusaYuragi
BloodseekerNightfall
Void Spiritbzm
UnderlordPure~
Ogre MagiDM
Keeper of the LightSave-
Spirit BreakerCeb
LichTORONTOTOKYO
TechiesTaiga
Game 2prediction correct38:19
BETBOOM TEAM 53%OG 47%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladeNightfall
WeaverYuragi
MagnusPure~
DoomDM
Storm SpiritgpK~
Void Spiritbzm
PugnaSave-
BatriderCeb
Spirit BreakerTORONTOTOKYO
DisruptorTaiga
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 57%
Accuracy by game1 of 2