DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Hoodwink
Save- · 34 games
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 31 game
Banesignature
Kataomi · 29 games
Muertasignature
Save- · 29 games
Shadow Shaman
Save- · 23 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
Tusk
Kataomi · 22 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
MieRo · 21 game
OG
Jakiro
Kidaro · 32 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Daze · 28 games
Snapfire
Daze · 28 games
Templar Assassinoften banned
Shad · 23 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Stormstormer · 22 games
Puckoften banned
Stojkov · 22 games
Timbersawoften banned
MikSa` · 22 games
Tusk
Daze · 21 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
773 picks · 353 bans
Hoodwink
592 picks · 297 bans
Disruptor
551 picks · 546 bans
Jakiro
547 picks · 434 bans
Dragon Knight
539 picks · 649 bans
Tusk
503 picks · 300 bans
Mars
485 picks · 747 bans
Centaur Warrunner
472 picks · 532 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 45%
Hero pool strength55% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total62% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed9:20
BETBOOM TEAM 55%OG 45%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by OG in 20:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
JuggernautKiritych
UrsaNatsumi
Centaur WarrunnergpK~
MarsYopaj
DazzleMieRo
MarciForce
Nyx AssassinKataomi
ChenSkem
Shadow DemonSave-
SnapfireTims
Game 2prediction missed8:35
BETBOOM TEAM 55%OG 45%
The model gave 55% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by OG in 33:13.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
JuggernautKiritych
UrsaNatsumi
EnigmaMieRo
Ember SpiritYopaj
Storm SpiritgpK~
AxeForce
HoodwinkSave-
EnchantressSkem
JakiroKataomi
Shadow DemonTims
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 62%
Series resultOG 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2