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Dota Pro Circuit 2023: Season 1. Восточная Европа. Первый дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
One Moveloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 8 games
63%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
CeMaTheSlayeR · 6 games
67%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
75%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Ainkrad · 3 games
67%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
Save- · 3 games
100%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Ainkrad · 3 games
67%
Marci
Marcioften banned
Bignum · 3 games
67%
Rubick
Rubick
Save- · 3 games
33%

One Move

Tiny
Tiny
Gilgir · 19 games
58%
Mirana
Mirana
Panto · 17 games
53%
Timbersaw
Timbersawoften banned
AfterLife · 15 games
53%
Tusk
Tusk
Ainkrad · 14 games
50%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
mellojul · 13 games
77%
Chen
Chensignature
Panto · 11 games
91%
Rubick
Rubick
Gilgir · 11 games
45%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
mellojul · 10 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
Tusk
370 picks · 350 bans
57%
Tiny
Tiny
334 picks · 333 bans
48%
Rubick
Rubick
275 picks · 202 bans
60%
Mirana
Mirana
268 picks · 264 bans
54%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
197 picks · 146 bans
50%
Snapfire
Snapfire
183 picks · 106 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
180 picks · 500 bans
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
173 picks · 467 bans
50%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)71% vs 48%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head6 – 1
Model total82% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct46:6
BETBOOM TEAM 68%One Move 32%
The model gave 68% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 38:03.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Leshrac
LeshracgpK~
51% · 155 games49% · 43 games
Drow RangerMunkushi~
Drow Ranger
Sniper
SniperPure~
41% · 64 games48% · 94 games
BatriderAinkrad
Batrider
Tidehunter
TidehunterNightfall
44% · 97 games55% · 171 game
SnapfireAfterLife
Snapfire
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSave-
44% · 81 game57% · 147 games
RubickGilgir
Rubick
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorTORONTOTOKYO
48% · 149 games60% · 91 game
ClockwerkPanto
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct46:36
BETBOOM TEAM 66%One Move 34%
The model gave 66% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 1:14:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Sniper
SniperPure~
45% · 88 games61% · 218 games
PangolierAinkrad
Pangolier
Doom
DoomNightfall
43% · 197 games58% · 74 games
Shadow FiendMunkushi~
Shadow Fiend
Queen of Pain
Queen of PaingpK~
46% · 137 games52% · 119 games
TimbersawAfterLife
Timbersaw
Clockwerk
ClockwerkTORONTOTOKYO
48% · 277 games55% · 435 games
TinyGilgir
Tiny
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
45% · 266 games46% · 119 games
Treant ProtectorPanto
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 82%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2