BLAST Slam I · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Batridersignature
Save- · 26 games
Tuskoften banned
Kataomi · 26 games
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 20 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 17 games
Doomoften banned
MieRo · 15 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
gpK~ · 15 games
Enchantresssignature
Kataomi · 15 games
Muertasignature
Save- · 15 games
PARIVISION
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 16 games
Pangoliersignature
DM · 16 games
Batridersignature
9Class · 14 games
Chensignature
Dukalis · 14 games
Earth Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 13 games
Razorsignature
Crystallis · 13 games
Dark Willowsignature
9Class · 11 games
Enchantressoften banned
Dukalis · 11 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
505 picks · 685 bans
Clockwerk
428 picks · 488 bans
Pangolier
367 picks · 531 bans
Luna
356 picks · 457 bans
Dark Willow
351 picks · 180 bans
Dragon Knight
328 picks · 480 bans
Enchantress
325 picks · 634 bans
Batrider
314 picks · 327 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 53%
Hero pool strength51% PARIVISION
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total68% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:23
BETBOOM TEAM 60%PARIVISION 40%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 51:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey KingPure~
AlchemistCrystallis
Storm SpiritgpK~
TinyNo[o]ne
DoomMieRo
BeastmasterDM
HoodwinkSave-
PhoenixPanto
Crystal MaidenKataomi
Muerta9Class
Game 2prediction correct31:21
BETBOOM TEAM 60%PARIVISION 40%
The model gave 60% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 59:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TimbersawgpK~
Sand KingNo[o]ne
Templar AssassinPure~
Dragon KnightCrystallis
DoomMieRo
EnigmaDM
BatriderSave-
Muerta9Class
Ogre MagiKataomi
EnchantressPanto
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 68%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2