FISSURE PLAYGROUND Belgrade 2025 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
BETBOOM TEAM
Muertasignature
Save- · 28 games
Tusk
Kataomi · 26 games
Batridersignature
Save- · 22 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Save- · 22 games
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 20 games
Invokersignature
kiyotaka · 20 games
Morphlingoften banned
Pure~ · 19 games
Dragon Knightsignature
Pure~ · 16 games
PARIVISION
Batridersignature
9Class · 21 game
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 19 games
Clockwerksignature
Dukalis · 18 games
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 17 games
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 17 games
Razorsignature
Crystallis · 17 games
Chensignature
Dukalis · 16 games
Dark Willowsignature
9Class · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Muerta
474 picks · 414 bans
Phoenix
458 picks · 562 bans
Batrider
445 picks · 551 bans
Clockwerk
429 picks · 541 bans
Gyrocopter
421 picks · 779 bans
Tiny
413 picks · 448 bans
Lion
410 picks · 231 bans
Magnus
396 picks · 850 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 62%
Hero pool strength50% PARIVISION
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total66% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed14:26
BETBOOM TEAM 59%PARIVISION 41%
The model gave 59% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 45:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinPure~
Naga SirenSatanic
InvokergpK~
Monkey KingNo[o]ne
MarsMieRo
PhoenixDM
MuertaSave-
Marci9Class
AbaddonKataomi
DisruptorDukalis
Game 2prediction missed41:25
BETBOOM TEAM 58%PARIVISION 42%
The model gave 58% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 51:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Monkey KingPure~
MorphlingSatanic
DawnbreakerMieRo
SniperNo[o]ne
InvokergpK~
BristlebackDM
BatriderSave-
LichDukalis
Crystal MaidenKataomi
Clockwerk9Class
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 66%
Series resultPARIVISION 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2