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DreamLeague Season 27 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Pipsqueak+4loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 36 games
53%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 31 game
55%
Bane
Banesignature
Kataomi · 30 games
67%
Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 30 games
67%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Save- · 23 games
57%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 23 games
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 22 games
59%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
59%

Pipsqueak+4

Warlock
Warlock
Kidaro · 37 games
43%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Nande · 29 games
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Palantimos · 26 games
62%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kidaro · 25 games
64%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Copy · 25 games
52%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Ekki · 20 games
70%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
xn丶e · 19 games
53%
Tusk
Tusk
Ekki · 19 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
Snapfire
778 picks · 360 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
607 picks · 302 bans
51%
Jakiro
Jakiro
584 picks · 489 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
566 picks · 708 bans
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
554 picks · 550 bans
51%
Tusk
Tusk
535 picks · 320 bans
51%
Mars
Mars
507 picks · 756 bans
51%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
501 picks · 566 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 58%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total86% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct35:18
BETBOOM TEAM 74%Pipsqueak+4 26%
The model gave 74% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 35:28.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Marci
MarciKiritych
55% · 257 games45% · 31 game
KezNande
Kez
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritkiyotaka
50% · 400 games50% · 445 games
Storm SpiritCopy
Storm Spirit
Pangolier
PangolierMieRo
47% · 462 games48% · 205 games
AxePalantimos
Axe
Muerta
MuertaSave-
50% · 216 games50% · 348 games
WarlockKidaro
Warlock
Bane
BaneKataomi
56% · 186 games48% · 492 games
TuskEkki
Tusk
Game 2prediction correct46:14
BETBOOM TEAM 70%Pipsqueak+4 30%
The model gave 70% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 32:37.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonKiritych
47% · 224 games48% · 306 games
Dragon KnightNande
Dragon Knight
Doom
DoomMieRo
49% · 218 games51% · 53 games
UnderlordPalantimos
Underlord
Invoker
Invokerkiyotaka
48% · 124 games50% · 234 games
Storm SpiritCopy
Storm Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful SpiritKataomi
54% · 10 games52% · 173 games
PugnaKidaro
Pugna
Hoodwink
HoodwinkSave-
47% · 279 games59% · 89 games
LionEkki
Lion
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 86%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2