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DreamLeague Season 29 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:2
series probability
77%23%
probability at match start · final 1:2
PlayTimewin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 34 games
65%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Kataomi · 30 games
57%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 29 games
62%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Save- · 27 games
67%
Kez
Kezsignature
Kiritych · 22 games
82%
Muerta
Muertaoften banned
Kiritych · 22 games
55%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 20 games
75%
Slardar
Slardaroften banned
MieRo · 18 games
44%

PlayTime

Tusk
Tusk
DJ · 17 games
47%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Scofield · 14 games
57%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Elmisho · 12 games
67%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Elmisho · 12 games
42%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
DarkMago · 10 games
20%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Wits · 10 games
50%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Wits · 10 games
70%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
DarkMago · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
543 picks · 329 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
476 picks · 572 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
433 picks · 229 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
422 picks · 355 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
356 picks · 486 bans
48%
Jakiro
Jakiro
337 picks · 230 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
320 picks · 848 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
316 picks · 818 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 52%
Hero pool strength56% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total77% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct40:15
BETBOOM TEAM 77%PlayTime 23%
The model gave 77% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 39:25.
Game 2prediction missed39:37
BETBOOM TEAM 77%PlayTime 23%
The model gave 77% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by PlayTime in 1:13:04.
Game 3prediction missed11:25
BETBOOM TEAM 77%PlayTime 23%
The model gave 77% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by PlayTime in 33:46.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 77%
Series resultPlayTime 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3