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ESL One Birmingham 2026 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 1:1
REKONIXloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 43 games
60%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 35 games
60%
Tusk
Tusk
Kataomi · 32 games
59%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 27 games
56%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 25 games
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 23 games
74%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Save- · 22 games
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
gpK~ · 21 game
67%

REKONIX

Disruptor
Disruptorsignature
Varizh · 22 games
68%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
inYourdreaM · 12 games
42%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 11 games
27%
Tusk
Tusksignature
dalul · 11 games
64%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
inYourdreaM · 10 games
80%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
TraVins · 10 games
80%
Mars
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 9 games
33%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
inYourdreaM · 9 games
67%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
641 picks · 815 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
561 picks · 581 bans
48%
Tusk
Tusk
461 picks · 401 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
453 picks · 301 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
408 picks · 1051 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
386 picks · 682 bans
59%
Mars
Mars
381 picks · 608 bans
47%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiend
368 picks · 971 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)55% vs 45%
Hero pool strength51% REKONIX
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:9
BETBOOM TEAM 53%REKONIX 47%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 26:18.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Puck
PuckgpK~
54% · 361 game51% · 433 games
BeastmasterTraVins
Beastmaster
Tidehunter
TidehunterMieRo
58% · 205 games46% · 187 games
BrewmasterFbz
Brewmaster
Windranger
WindrangerKiritych
49% · 248 games52% · 250 games
Sand KinginYourdreaM
Sand King
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonSave-
53% · 298 games42% · 136 games
Liondalul
Lion
Tusk
TuskKataomi
49% · 471 game47% · 577 games
WarlockVarizh
Warlock
Game 2prediction missed20:32
BETBOOM TEAM 53%REKONIX 47%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by REKONIX in 51:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Tidehunter
TidehunterMieRo
55% · 310 games52% · 235 games
Templar AssassinTraVins
Templar Assassin
Invoker
InvokergpK~
50% · 170 games47% · 382 games
Storm SpiritinYourdreaM
Storm Spirit
Windranger
WindrangerKiritych
48% · 379 games50% · 374 games
Centaur WarrunnerFbz
Centaur Warrunner
Tiny
TinySave-
45% · 683 games54% · 365 games
Shadow Shamandalul
Shadow Shaman
Bane
BaneKataomi
54% · 259 games44% · 445 games
WarlockVarizh
Warlock
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 54%
Accuracy by game1 of 2