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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Rune Eatersloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Queen of Pain
Queen of Painsignature
fn · 10 games
80%
Wraith King
Wraith Kingoften banned
7jesu · 10 games
50%
Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Disruptor
Disruptor
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
56%
Weaver
Weaversignature
CeMaTheSlayeR · 9 games
78%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Petushara · 8 games
75%
Bane
Banesignature
Bignum · 7 games
86%

Rune Eaters

Mars
Marsoften banned
Cloud · 6 games
50%
Tiny
Tinysignature
TA2000 · 6 games
67%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
ArrOw · 5 games
40%
Mirana
Mirana
ArrOw · 5 games
60%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
hAze · 5 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
25%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
75%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
510 picks · 445 bans
48%
Mars
Mars
488 picks · 700 bans
49%
Bane
Bane
455 picks · 291 bans
59%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
441 picks · 534 bans
53%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
389 picks · 624 bans
55%
Sand King
Sand King
385 picks · 543 bans
55%
Pangolier
Pangolier
370 picks · 618 bans
51%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
356 picks · 316 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)59% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct30:12
BETBOOM TEAM 58%Rune Eaters 42%
The model gave 58% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 36:18.
Game 2prediction missed16:16
BETBOOM TEAM 58%Rune Eaters 42%
The model gave 58% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 30:06.
Game 3prediction correct27:23
BETBOOM TEAM 58%Rune Eaters 42%
The model gave 58% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 52:14.
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 58%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3