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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO3
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:1
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Talon Esportsloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Muerta
Muertasignature
Save- · 33 games
61%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Save- · 29 games
62%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
gpK~ · 28 games
54%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
MieRo · 27 games
70%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
Pure~ · 27 games
59%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Pure~ · 22 games
55%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
MieRo · 21 game
57%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Kataomi · 20 games
55%

Talon Esports

Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Jhocam · 27 games
74%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Natsumi · 27 games
56%
Lina
Linasignature
Mikoto · 26 games
77%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Kuku · 26 games
58%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Mikoto · 24 games
63%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Mikoto · 24 games
58%
Doom
Doomsignature
Ws · 22 games
64%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shamansignature
Jhocam · 21 game
81%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
483 picks · 457 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
452 picks · 537 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
433 picks · 210 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
336 picks · 602 bans
46%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
298 picks · 421 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
289 picks · 626 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
284 picks · 200 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
270 picks · 77 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 41%
Hero pool strength53% Talon Esports
Head-to-head4 – 2
Model total60% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct36:10
BETBOOM TEAM 53%Talon Esports 47%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 32:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bristleback
BristlebackKiritych
57% · 175 games47% · 341 game
Storm SpiritMikoto
Storm Spirit
Ember Spirit
Ember SpiritgpK~
53% · 202 games40% · 51 game
Drow Ranger23savage
Drow Ranger
Beastmaster
BeastmasterMieRo
51% · 203 games39% · 28 games
UndyingWs
Undying
Rubick
RubickSave-
49% · 75 games50% · 133 games
Nature's ProphetKuku
Nature's Prophet
Oracle
OracleKataomi
65% · 19 games49% · 121 game
Shadow ShamanJhocam
Shadow Shaman
Game 2prediction missed11:33
BETBOOM TEAM 56%Talon Esports 44%
The model gave 56% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Talon Esports in 29:38.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lina
LinaKiritych
45% · 136 games50% · 374 games
Tiny23savage
Tiny
Undying
UndyingMieRo
59% · 39 games52% · 231 game
Storm SpiritMikoto
Storm Spirit
Pangolier
PangoliergpK~
43% · 427 games54% · 15 games
AxeWs
Axe
Naga Siren
Naga SirenKataomi
52% · 77 games52% · 187 games
MagnusJhocam
Magnus
Rubick
RubickSave-
46% · 170 games56% · 42 games
OracleKuku
Oracle
Game 3prediction correct31:4
BETBOOM TEAM 53%Talon Esports 47%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 30:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaKiritych
45% · 112 games55% · 79 games
Magnus23savage
Magnus
Kunkka
KunkkagpK~
44% · 131 game56% · 251 game
TinyMikoto
Tiny
Omniknight
OmniknightMieRo
50% · 43 games57% · 6 games
Death ProphetWs
Death Prophet
Windranger
WindrangerSave-
46% · 180 games50% · 209 games
TuskJhocam
Tusk
Silencer
SilencerKataomi
46% · 109 games58% · 30 games
BaneKuku
Bane
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 60%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3