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ESL One Berlin Major 2023 · BO2
result vs prediction
BETBOOM TEAMloss 1:1
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Team Asterloss 1:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

BETBOOM TEAM

Death Prophet
Death Prophetsignature
Nightfall · 17 games
65%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
Save- · 15 games
60%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 13 games
77%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
gpK~ · 13 games
69%
Tiny
Tiny
Save- · 12 games
58%
Mirana
Miranasignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 11 games
73%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Save- · 9 games
67%
Treant Protector
Treant Protectorsignature
TORONTOTOKYO · 9 games
67%

Team Aster

Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
BoBoKa · 20 games
75%
Tiny
Tinysignature
BoBoKa · 20 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
Xxs · 16 games
63%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Fantasy · 16 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Xwy · 15 games
60%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Xxs · 14 games
29%
Rubick
Rubick
BoBoKa · 12 games
33%
Treant Protector
Treant Protector
Fantasy · 12 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
987 picks · 692 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
638 picks · 464 bans
52%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
579 picks · 930 bans
54%
Disruptor
Disruptor
549 picks · 408 bans
55%
Tusk
Tusk
531 picks · 410 bans
47%
Snapfire
Snapfire
527 picks · 370 bans
45%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
516 picks · 1211 bans
51%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
498 picks · 385 bans
54%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)45% vs 35%
Hero pool strength51% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed9:35
BETBOOM TEAM 54%Team Aster 46%
The model gave 54% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by Team Aster in 32:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaNightfall
57% · 144 games60% · 138 games
Storm SpiritSumaiL
Storm Spirit
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightgpK~
44% · 227 games48% · 117 games
BloodseekerMonet
Bloodseeker
Death Prophet
Death ProphetResolut1on
46% · 342 games51% · 60 games
UnderlordXxs
Underlord
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenTORONTOTOKYO
46% · 147 games49% · 480 games
RubickFantasy
Rubick
Bounty Hunter
Bounty HunterSave-
50% · 20 games52% · 85 games
IoBoBoKa
Io
Game 2prediction correct40:13
BETBOOM TEAM 53%Team Aster 47%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 24:27.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom Lancer
Phantom LancerNightfall
42% · 34 games53% · 70 games
AlchemistMonet
Alchemist
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritgpK~
52% · 166 games58% · 140 games
DoomXxs
Doom
Dawnbreaker
DawnbreakerResolut1on
54% · 187 games52% · 48 games
RikiSumaiL
Riki
Crystal Maiden
Crystal MaidenTORONTOTOKYO
46% · 234 games50% · 198 games
EnchantressBoBoKa
Enchantress
Pugna
PugnaSave-
43% · 75 games47% · 240 games
RubickFantasy
Rubick
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 55%
Accuracy by game1 of 2